Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#265
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#228
Pace74.0#87
Improvement+1.5#120

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#323
First Shot-6.5#321
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-0.8#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#217
Freethrows-0.1#174
Improvement-0.2#188

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#156
First Shot+1.8#121
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#279
Layups/Dunks+3.2#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#279
Freethrows+0.8#108
Improvement+1.7#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. L 70-88 7%     0 - 1 -7.4 -8.4 +3.0
  Nov 19, 2015 75   @ LSU L 66-78 7%     0 - 2 -1.5 -5.7 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2015 138   Belmont L 85-98 22%     0 - 3 -11.1 -2.8 -6.6
  Nov 24, 2015 213   IUPUI W 78-68 38%     1 - 3 +6.7 -3.2 +8.8
  Nov 28, 2015 191   @ Denver L 56-69 24%     1 - 4 -12.0 -12.4 -0.7
  Dec 05, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee L 55-68 29%     1 - 5 -13.6 -16.7 +3.3
  Dec 14, 2015 302   Southern Miss L 54-57 71%     1 - 6 -15.2 -17.7 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2015 224   @ Samford W 72-70 2OT 30%     2 - 6 +1.2 -14.3 +15.1
  Dec 22, 2015 277   Rice W 74-67 65%     3 - 6 -3.4 -11.0 +7.4
  Dec 30, 2015 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 60-69 16%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -4.8 -5.5 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2016 257   Arkansas St. L 67-89 60%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -30.9 -13.6 -15.9
  Jan 07, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern W 64-58 28%     4 - 8 1 - 2 +5.5 -12.9 +18.1
  Jan 09, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. L 55-70 25%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -14.3 -13.8 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2016 219   Texas St. L 67-78 50%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -17.4 -4.8 -13.0
  Jan 16, 2016 107   Texas Arlington W 88-85 OT 23%     5 - 10 2 - 4 +4.5 +4.0 +0.1
  Jan 21, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 82-92 14%     5 - 11 2 - 5 -4.5 +2.0 -5.5
  Jan 23, 2016 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 68-100 15%     5 - 12 2 - 6 -27.2 -8.6 -16.1
  Jan 26, 2016 285   @ Troy W 66-58 45%     6 - 12 3 - 6 +3.0 -3.3 +6.8
  Jan 30, 2016 260   Appalachian St. W 73-60 60%     7 - 12 4 - 6 +3.9 -6.0 +9.8
  Feb 04, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. L 73-79 OT 37%     7 - 13 4 - 7 -9.1 -11.4 +3.3
  Feb 06, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 43-74 7%     7 - 14 4 - 8 -20.9 -20.1 -3.6
  Feb 11, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 79-78 OT 45%     8 - 14 5 - 8 -4.1 -0.1 -4.1
  Feb 13, 2016 216   Georgia Southern W 80-76 50%     9 - 14 6 - 8 -2.3 +0.5 -2.9
  Feb 16, 2016 285   Troy L 54-61 67%     9 - 15 6 - 9 -17.9 -23.6 +5.9
  Feb 18, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. W 75-71 38%     10 - 15 7 - 9 +0.8 -5.2 +5.7
  Feb 25, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 59-66 30%     10 - 16 7 - 10 -8.1 -15.3 +7.2
  Feb 27, 2016 126   Louisiana W 83-70 28%     11 - 16 8 - 10 +12.7 +1.4 +10.2
  Mar 03, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington L 79-92 10%     11 - 17 8 - 11 -5.6 +6.5 -11.4
  Mar 05, 2016 219   @ Texas St. L 57-68 29%     11 - 18 8 - 12 -11.6 -15.0 +3.5
  Mar 10, 2016 216   Georgia Southern W 67-61 39%     12 - 18 +2.6 -15.4 +17.4
  Mar 11, 2016 126   Louisiana L 68-90 20%     12 - 19 -19.4 -10.7 -6.9
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%